Opinion polls for the Brandenburg state election
What do the polls say about the Brandenburg state election?
The newest poll, from INSA, puts AfD first at 40.0%.
- Polls to
What do the polls say?
As of , the newest poll for the Brandenburg state election, from INSA, puts AfD at 40.0%, SPD at 20.0% and Linke at 9.0%. This page lists 9 polls published after the election of , each with its pollster and fieldwork dates.
- Germany
- Brandenburgischer Landtag
- 9 polls since the last election
- Last election
- Next: Germany 2029 Brandenburg state election
The newest poll, from INSA, published 9 October 2026; asked 29 September 2026 to 6 October 2026.
| Party | % | ± points against the federal average |
|---|---|---|
| AfD | 40.0 | +11.8 |
| SPD | 20.0 | +6.7 |
| Linke | 9.0 | −2.2 |
| CDU | 9.0 | −10.8 |
| Grüne | 7.0 | −8.1 |
| BSW | 7.0 | +3.4 |
| Other parties | 8.0 |
CDU is compared with the federal average of CDU/CSU.
What stands out
- AfD: 11.8 points above the federal average of 9 October 2026 (28.2%).
- CDU: 10.8 points below CDU/CSU's federal average of 9 October 2026 (19.8%).
- Grüne: 8.1 points below the federal average of 9 October 2026 (15.1%).
How has support changed?
Which polls are in the average?
| Pollster | Published | Asked | People | AfD | SPD | Linke | CDU | Grüne | BSW | Other parties | In average |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSAfor Märkische Allgemeine Zeitung (MAZ) / Märkische Oderzeitung (MOZ) / Lausitzer Rundschau (LR), Online | to | 1,000 | 40.0 | 20.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | Yes | |
| Infratest dimapfor RBB Brandenburg aktuell / Antenne Brandenburg, Telefon & Online | to | 1,159 | 37.0 | 22.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | ||
| INSAfor Märkische Allgemeine Zeitung (MAZ) / Märkische Oderzeitung (MOZ) / Lausitzer Rundschau (LR), Online | to | 1,000 | 34.0 | 24.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | ||
| INSAfor Nordkurier, Online | to | 1,000 | 34.0 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | ||
| Infratest dimapfor RBB Brandenburg aktuell / Antenne Brandenburg, Telefon & Online | to | 1,184 | 35.0 | 22.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | ||
| INSAfor Märkische Allgemeine Zeitung (MAZ) / Märkische Oderzeitung (MOZ) / Lausitzer Rundschau (LR), Online | to | 1,000 | 34.0 | 24.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | ||
| Infratest dimapfor RBB Brandenburg aktuell / Antenne Brandenburg, Telefon & Online | to | 1,185 | 32.0 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | ||
| INSAfor Märkische Allgemeine Zeitung (MAZ) / Märkische Oderzeitung (MOZ) / Lausitzer Rundschau (LR), Online | to | 1,000 | 29.0 | 25.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | ||
| Infratest dimapfor RBB Brandenburg aktuell / Antenne Brandenburg, Telefon & Online | to | 1,183 | 30.0 | 28.0 | 4.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 |
Who ran the polls?
| Pollster | Polls | Latest | In the average |
|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 5 | Yes | |
| Infratest dimap | 4 |
Other state parliaments
How is the average made?
The average takes the newest poll of each pollster published in the 30 days up to the date of the newest poll, counting only polls published after the last election. Each party's figure is the mean of its shares in the polls that report it, rounded to one decimal, and a party is listed when at least half of those polls report it. Every poll is used as DAWUM publishes it; no poll is weighted or adjusted. A poll is a snapshot of what a sample said when asked, not a forecast, and this page shows no seat projection. If DAWUM edits or withdraws a poll, this page follows.
No law in Germany stops the publication of opinion polls before an election. Only exit polls, which ask people who have already voted, may not be published before the polling stations close at 18:00 (Berlin time). Bundeswahlgesetz, section 32, read .
Time and source Polls to
Sources
- Daten von dawum.de (Open Database License (ODbL)) (source). Licence: Open Database License 1.0
- The database as DAWUM publishes it